The Buffalo Bills (6-3) play the Cleveland Browns (3-6) on Sunday, 20 at 19:00 at Highmark Stadium – a tally of six wins from nine games leaves the Buffalo Bills with a divisional ranking of third in the AFC East, while the Cleveland Browns are third in the AFC North after collecting three victories out of a possible nine.
The Buffalo Bills are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Cleveland Browns, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the Highmark Stadium.
Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns Betting lines
Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns Betting expert picks
Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns Moneyline
Going with the Buffalo Bills (-385) on the moneyline looks too good to pass up here. In their last five matches, the hosts have bagged three wins to improve their regular season record to 6-3 SU.
Odds of -385 suggest they have a win probability rate of 79% for this matchup.
On the other side, the Cleveland Browns are the clear underdogs at +300. The visitors are currently 2-3 SU on the road after losing three of their past five road trips.
Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns Spread
The Buffalo Bills (-110) are expected to win by more than a touchdown on Sunday. The oddsmakers currently have the hosts down as -8.0 point favorites over the Cleveland Browns in the Week 11 betting lines.
In the last 13 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 8.5 points.
Backing the Buffalo Bills to cover the spread looks like a red flag here, even on home soil. They’ve failed to cover the spread in their last three outings ahead of Sunday’s matchup.
The hosts are also 4-2 ATS in the past ten games at home and 4-5 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The past five visits to the Highmark Stadium have seen the Cleveland Browns end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard three times, with an average losing margin of 14.3 points.
In their past 10 matches, the Cleveland Browns went 6-4 ATS and also ended up 3-2 ATS from their five most recent road trips.
Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns Total
The points total in matches between the Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns tends to sway to the lower side, as they have averaged 34.31 points in their last 13 meetings.
The average total in the last five encounters between the Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns was 34.8 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 43.0, taking the Under (110) might just be worth its weight in gold.
The total has gone under in six of the Buffalo Bills’ last seven games.
Meanwhile, betting on the over would’ve paid out as a winning bet in each of the last three games at the Highmark Stadium for the Buffalo Bills, who are 2-8 in their last ten home and away matches combined.
As for the Cleveland Browns, the average total has been 49.6 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 45.8 points in the last five on the road. Looking back over the last five road games, the total went over two times.
Overall, the Cleveland Browns are 7-2 in the over/under market from their previous ten outings.
Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns Betting trends
- Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in their last three games.
- In six of the Buffalo Bills’ last seven games, the total went under
- Buffalo Bills won the last three H2H matches against Cleveland Browns when playing at home.
NFL Power Rankings Week 11 2022, Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns
Buffalo Bills Form
The Buffalo Bills fell to back-to-back defeats last week when the Minnesota Vikings beat them 30-33. The hosts are now 6-4 in their past 10 games overall and 4-1 in the last five at home.
From nine games this season, the Buffalo Bills have scored a solid 27.8 points on average. This gives them bragging rights as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses. On the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever.
The hosts boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 16.8 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 18.6 points on average.
As the reigning AFC East champions, a successful title defense is a priority for the Buffalo Bills right now. By doing so, they’ll seal a playoff spot and a more favorable tie at home.
Cleveland Browns Form
Form is not looking good for Cleveland Browns, who came up short in a 39-17 defeat against Miami Dolphins last week. Moreover, they have lost their last three road matches in a row. Their overall record for the last 10 games is 3-7.
The Cleveland Browns continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 22.4 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 24.1 points, this suggests the offensive unit remains as reliable as ever.
On the other side of the ball, the hosts have continued to struggle in defense. In the same number of games, they’ve surrendered 28.6 points and rank in position number 24 in the league for points allowed, having given up 26.4 points this year alone.
Reaching the Super Bowl is the ultimate dream for the Cleveland Browns. It’s a big ask though. Not only did the visitors exit in the first round of last season’s playoffs, but they’re only 3-6 this year, and unless things pick up soon, even a postseason berth will be out of their reach.
Buffalo Bills VS Cleveland Browns H2H history
The Cleveland Browns bagged a 19-16 win over the Buffalo Bills in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the FirstEnergy Stadium in November 2019.
The past 13 meetings have mostly gone in the Buffalo Bills’s favor. In total, they claimed seven wins with a total score of 7-6. Unless the Cleveland Browns pull something special out of the bag, this run might well continue on Sunday.
The Buffalo Bills tallied 19.23 points on average per game from their 13 most recent head-to-head games against the Cleveland Browns. The latter managed an average of 15.08 points in comparison.